Main scenario: consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.2801 with a target of 1.2427 – 1.2333.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.2801 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3000 – 1.3200.
Analysis: the first wave of larger degree (1) is presumably formed, a correction developed as second wave (2), and the ascending third wave (3) started unfolding on the daily chart. Wave 1 of (3) is formed on the H4 time frame, and a downward correction continues unfolding as second wave 2 of (3), with wave c of 2 forming as its part. Apparently, the third wave of smaller degree (iii) of c is developing on the H1 time frame. If this assumption is correct, the GBPUSD pair will continue to fall to 1.2427 – 1.2333. The level of 1.2801 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3000 – 1.3200.
Price chart of GBPUSD in real time mode
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