.jpg)
The American administration offers the UK deal as a model – but in reality, it is far from idealism. However, the markets continue to believe the White House’s narration and buy the US dollar. Let’s discuss it and develop a trading plan Euro/dollars.
The article covers the following topics:
Main meals
- The United States and the United Kingdom have signed a commercial deal.
- Investors are betting on a less tariff.
- The derivative market expands the scope of expectations that reduce feeding rates.
- The recovery of the euro/US dollar from $ 1.117 will be a reason for the shift from pants to Longs.
The basic weekly expectations of the dollar
The White House exaggerates its hand. It is now clear that Washington’s main plan is the shock of markets with highly tariff advertisements, then quickly negotiate deals before this tariff begins to destroy the American economy. But China and Canada do not rush to bend to American Europe threatening revenge duties if the conversations fail, and Japan’s disclosure to the sale of treasury bonds. The only remaining option is to rush to a supposed deal.
If anyone deserves a good deal, it was the United Kingdom. The United States has a trade surplus with Britain, and its leader, Kiir Starmer, is fine with Donald Trump. But in reality, the UK got a raw deal. Its exports will face a 10 % tariff, up from 2.4 %, while American farmers get an open arrival to the agricultural market in Britain.
American foreign trade with other countries
Source: Wall Street Journal.
The American commercial actor, Jameson Jarir, called on the Washington-Lindon Agreement as a criterion for others to follow up. G does not agree. The United Kingdom is one of the few with a neutral commercial position with the United States; Others are much worse. Trump is repeating this, saying that the UK has obtained a good deal, but other countries that have great trade surpluses and “respect” are not enough for America will face a higher final tariff.
Capital Economics notes that the White House’s rush to offer progress in the deal, especially before China’s major conversations, looks desperate.
However, the markets see what they want to see. Green control, so news of the UK deal ignited a gathering in the stock index in the United States, allowing Euro/dollars Bears to pay prices to less than the limits of low monotheism from 1.128 – 1.138 dollars.
If it ends with definitions, the American economy may avoid recession. The Federal Reserve will have a lower reason to reduce prices strongly and support the dollar. In fact, after the announcement of the Washington and Windon deal, the probability of cash expansion in 2025 decreased from 75 % to 58 %, while two chances of 20 % increased to 30 %, and only one probability doubled to 11 %.
Market expectations for federal reserve rates
Source: Wall Street Journal.
EUR/USD weekly trading plan
A Euro/dollars The correction is delayed, but the wheel of the White House indicates not to control everything. The husband’s fate depends on the support test at $ 1.117. The constructive collapse will justify panties It opened at $ 1.1325, while the bounce will indicate a reflection and return to the Longs.
This expectation depends on an analysis Basic factorsIncluding official data from financial institutions and organizers, various geopolitical and economic developments, and statistical data. Historical market data is also.
Eurusd price scheme in the actual time
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of the Litefinance Mediator. The materials published on this page are provided for media purposes only and should not be considered to be considered investment advice for guidance purposes 2014/65/European Union.
According to the Publishing Law, this article is an intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on its copy and distribution without approval.
