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The price of Bitcoin has fallen slightly over the past 24 hours to trade at $65,241 as of 00:46 AM EST on trading volume that is down 46%.
This indicates waning conviction among traders, causing a lack of market participation and interest in BTC at the moment.
after #Bitcoin Half in 2020 $ Bitcoin 150 days fell into a boring price range of $9,000 to $11,000
We are currently 60 days away from the halving, and people are feeling very depressed about the price action
All cycle again pic.twitter.com/x2gfIFETMT
β Quentin | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) June 19, 2024
Meanwhile, analysts from CryptoQuant note that BTC whales and miners have sold over a billion worth of Bitcoin in the past two weeks.
#Bitcoin Long-holding whales sold $1.2 billion in the past two weeks, likely through brokers.
Net ETF inflows are negative with outflows of $460 million in the same period.
If the approximately $1.6 billion in sell-side liquidity is not purchased OTC, brokers can deposit $ Bitcoin For exchanges, which affects the market. pic.twitter.com/oYeKsRqKeF
– Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) June 18, 2024
The report also highlights weak buying interest, noting that βtraders are still not increasing their Bitcoin holdings and demand growth for large holders (whales) still lacks strength.β
The data shows that the sale coincides with net outflows from US-listed bitcoin ETFs in the same period.
Update June 19:
9 ETFs fell 442 $ Bitcoin($-28.7 million).#grayscale decreased 56 $ Bitcoin($-3.6 million) and currently owns 280,322 $ Bitcoin($18.22B).https://t.co/Cm7cgD2Fd3 pic.twitter.com/9FAhxDPRR5
β Loconchain (@loconchain) June 19, 2024
the Cryptoquant report It explored three main reasons behind the recession, citing miners capitulating, declining stablecoin issuance, and large outflows from ETFs.
Miner capitulation refers to miners selling their Bitcoin holdings due to declining profits. Decreased stablecoin issuance restricts market liquidity, amplifying price declines. Large ETF outflows indicate that investors are unloading their investments in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin price prediction as the price of Bitcoin rises within the golden zone
Bitcoin price is trading with a bearish bias, recording a series of lower highs over the past two weeks. Currently, it is at an immediate support level due to the 50% Fibonacci placeholder at $65,128, and is deep in the golden zone.
The market is tilted in favor of the bears, since buyer momentum is weak as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 intermediate level. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also in the negative zone below the signal. line, highlighting the bearish hypothesis.
If selling pressure increases, Bitcoin price could test the crucial support at $64,000, which marks the low of Tuesday’s trading session. In a difficult case, this could be followed by a drop to the most important Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8%, below which the short-term downtrend will be strengthened.
GeckoTerminal: 1-day BTC/USD chart
On the other hand, if the bullish momentum continues and the $65,128 support level holds, Bitcoin price may pivot around to change the directional bias. In such a case, only a candle close above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $69,595 will defend Bitcoin price from the hands of bears.
Therefore, traders looking to take new buy or sell positions in BTC should wait for the decisive escape from the golden Fibonacci zone. Key Fibonacci retracement levels within the golden zone typically include 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and are believed to represent potential areas where the asset price may reverse or consolidate before continuing in its previous trend.
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