Low oil prices will slow down inflation in the United States and give Donald Trump an additional lever to Saudi Arabia and Russia. I have already struck the American definitions Brent price. Let’s discuss this topic and develop a commercial plan.
The article covers the following topics:
Main meals
- The new US tariff will reduce oil demand.
- The White House gave raw imports of duties.
- Brent prices are useful for Donald Trump.
- Short deals can be opened on Brent if the price offers are up to $ 73.3.
Princess basic expectations for Brent
US President Donald Trump has taken decisive measures to protect local interests. He imposed a 10 % global tariff, and about 60 countries receiving higher duties on imports. In addition, China, the European Union and other countries promised revenge, a step threatening to slow down the global economy. On this background, the demand for global oil will be reduced, and prices will decrease. It is worth noting that Brent The price of crude oil has witnessed great fluctuations on “Liberation Day” in America, which represents the worst performance for two days since February.
Donald Trump has repeatedly emphasized the basic goals of his definitions: tackling shortcomings in budget through fees and factories returning and manufacturing to the United States. However, the main goal that the American president publicly did not treat is to influence the global economy. The World Trade War will slow down the global economy and demand oil, and withdraw Brent prices to a decrease and reduction of gasoline prices and other petroleum products. As a result, inflation will slow down in the United States.
The strategic focus of the US President is on the oil industry by exemption from customs duties on its imports to the United States. A similar approach has been adopted by the White House, as evidenced by the exemptions granted to oil suppliers from neighboring countries. American demand for oil is estimated at 18.4 million barrels per day, of which 6.6 million barrels per day are purchased abroad in 2024. This includes 4 million barrels from Canada and 464 thousand Mexico.
American oil imports
Source: Reuters.
The strategy may include a deliberate cooling of the American economy through definitions, which may lead to short -term challenges for Americans before making America great again. It is worth noting that the high prices are not compatible with the weak economy. Therefore, the increase in prices is expected to be short -term.
Brent price resumption may provide a strategic advantage for the United States. The downward market conditions put pressure on oil -producing countries such as Saudi Arabia and Russia, giving Donald Trump additional influence in negotiations.
A tariff of revenge on China and the European Union can exacerbate the situation. The higher the spread of the trade war, the lower the demand for oil, and the more Brent waterfalls. Meanwhile, the United States wants to see oil at $ 50 a barrel.
US exports raw
Source: Reuters.
In fact, American producers may reduce their production, and ignore the campaign “Drilling, Child, Drilling, Drilling” by President Trump. At the same time, Canada may start providing oil in the United States with a great discount, as the country will have to compensate for the American customs tariff.
Pent weekly trading plan
Brent It is likely to return to the declining direction. Short situations It was formed on a return of less than $ 73.5 that can be kept open. In addition, one can sell oil at the market price as long as it trades less than $ 73.3.
This expectation depends on an analysis Basic factorsIncluding official data from financial institutions and organizers, various geopolitical and economic developments, and statistical data. Historical market data is also.
UKBRent price scheme in real mode
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