Daily market summary – April 14, 2025

Although the markets were a quiet start on Monday, there was some “trilogy” of the shares of the United States, bonds and dollars later in the day.

Reading to find out what is about this and the headlines of the newspaper that led to a price in the past Trading sessions:

Tables:

• During the weekend, US President Trump announced a temporary exemption from electronics imports
• The White House announced that they are coordinating the definition discussions with the leaders of Japan, India and South Korea
• US Minister of Trade Lutnick explained that the electronics will continue to fall in light of a tariff for the upcoming conductors that were launched within a month or two, while Trump added that electronic goods were reclaimed simply under a different tariff segment
• New China Loans for March 2025: 3,640.0B (4000.0B forecasts; 1,010.0B)
• New Zealand Composite Nz PCI for the month of March 2025: 51.2 (50.5 forecasts; 50.7 previously)
• New Zealand Services Nz Psi for the month of March 2025: 49.1 (49.5 expectations; formerly 49.1)
• Electronic retail cards spending in New Zealand in March 2025: -1.6 % year on an annual basis (0.1 % on year; -4.2 % year on annual basis)
• New Zealand visitors arrived in February 2025: -2.3 % year on an annual basis (14.0 % Y/Y expected; 13.4 % y/y) previously)
• China balance in trade For the month of March 2025: 102.64B (84.0B forecast; previous 170.52B); Exports: 12.4 % y/y (5.2 % y/y expectations; 2.3 % y/y); Imports in -4.3 % y/y (-1.0 % y/y expectations; -8.4 % y/y)
• Japan’s capacity rate for February 2025: -1.1 % (-0.6 % forecast; 4.5 % previously)
• The growth rate of industrial production in Japan (final) for the month of February 2025: 2.3 % m/m (2.5 % m/m expectation; -1.1 % m/m previous); 0.1 % y/y (0.3 % y/y expectations; 2.2 % y/y)
• Swiss product prices and import In March 2025: 0.1 % m/m (0.3 % m/m expectation; 0.3 % m/m); -0.1 % y/y (0.1 % y/y expectations; -0.1 % y/y)
• The average growth rate of wholesale in Canada (final) for the month of February 2025: 0.3 % m/m (0.4 % m/m expectation; 1.2 % m/m previous)
• Official feeding and wire Note that the new tariff policy is one of the most important economic shocks faced by the American economy for decades
• Canada New Auto Slip for February 2025: 125.4K (119.0K forecasts; 121.6K)
• Monthly survey in the United States: Consumer enlargement forecast for March 2025: 3.6 % (3.3 % expectations; previous 3.1 %); Unemployment fears hit the worst level since April 2020

Work market prices:

Some of the risk flowers participating in the market were received early on Monday, thanks to the weekend reports of US President Trump, who is granted temporary exemption for electronics imports. To stop this, the White House also indicated that they are wearing employment discussions with Japan, India and South Korea.

Wti crude oil She managed to stay standing on his feet during the Asian session Bitcoin American stock futures become in decent gains, but the gatherings were reduced when Opec announced a reduction in 150,000 barrels per day in global demand expectations for this year due to commercial uncertainty.

gold Top Treasury revenue He remained on his background, which led to an increase in losses after a monthly survey in the United States revealed the expectations of high inflation for consumers and increased unemployment fears.

Fears about the financial stability of the United States, the risks of recession and inflationary pressure from the higher customs tariff combined in what many call them a “triple blow” of the principles provided by the dollar, and withdraw the dollar index again at the end of the session.

It is still, American stock indicators She managed to stick to some of her previous gains, with the S&P 500 index increased by 0.57 %, and she sees Nasdak 0.64 % despite declines in some technology sector shares such as NVIDIA and Amazon.

Market behavior FX: US dollar against specialties:

The dollar is overpowered against the main currencies The graph by TradingView

The US dollar still finds itself on a volatile land at the beginning of the Asian session, following the sale of last Friday and a little risk after positive commercial developments during the weekend.

The commercial balance in China, which turned to the better than expected and reflected a wonderful 12.4 % on an annual basis in exports, did not do a little to move the bowl because the numbers were for the month of March, that is, before it entered the latest large number of American definitions.

However, the high -yielding currencies continued to take advantage of the feelings that go on the risks with the continuation of the session while the Swiss francs collapsed away from the package and sold when seeing the producers’ price index data is weaker than expected. The US dollar/CHF went to climb to the 8270 region immediately before the south and join the sale of the dollar that followed with the opening of the American markets.

More losses from the United States were seen after a survey in the Federal Reserve in New York revealed the expectations of consumer inflation and the increasing labor market expectations, which led to the closure of the dollar mostly in red, with the exception of the Canadian dollar, which is likely to have some visits from low crude oil prices. Moreover, the Federal Reserve official warned that the new definition system offers one of the largest shocks that the American economy has faced for decades.

Possible incentives coming to the economic evaluation:

• Wholesale prices in Germany at 6:00 am GMT
• UK employment report At 6:00 am GMT
• France Final Consumer Prices Index Reading at 6:45 am GMT
• Germany Zew
• Industrial production euro area at 9:00 am GMT
• Housing in Canada begins on March 2025 at 12:15 pm GMT
• Canada CPI At 12:30 pm GMT
• Canada manufacturing sales at 12:30 pm GMT
• The U.S. Index in the United States in New York Empire at 12:30 pm GMT
• World Dairy Prices Index in New Zealand
• Parkin’s official in the United States at 3:35 pm GMT
• Change API crude oil at 8:30 pm GMT
• New Zealand trade balance at 10:45 pm GMT
• Tankan Reuters Japanese Index for the month of April 2025 at 11:00 pm GMT
• Cook’s official in the United States at 11:10 pm GMT

It will be a busy day in terms of higher economic publications, where they prepare the pound traders Job report in the United Kingdom while Canada has CPI data Exit – both are likely to affect their central bank policy biases.

Regardless, be sure to keep your eyes and ears peeling to get headlines related to definitions that can threaten the heat of the trade war and cause risk morale in general again.

As always, stay smart and do not forget to check Forex correlation calculator When taking any deals!