Main scenario: consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.2699 with a target of 1.2427 – 1.2332.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.2699 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.2820 – 1.3000.
Analysis: the first wave of larger degree (1) is presumably formed, a correction developed as second wave (2), and the ascending third wave (3) started unfolding on the daily chart. The first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) is formed on the H4 chart, and a local correction continues developing as the second wave 2 of (3). Apparently, wave с of 2 is developing on the H1 time frame, with wave (iii) of с unfolding as its part. If this assumption is correct, the GBPUSD pair will continue to fall to 1.2427 – 1.2332. The level of 1.2699 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.2820 – 1.3000.
Price chart of GBPUSD in real time mode
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