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Another wave of definitions from President Donald Trump will come this week and can hit the market.
The White House confirmed that Trump’s commercial policy will be in effect immediately after it was unveiled on Wednesday, April 2. The plan includes a “mutual tariff” on imported goods, and targets “all countries” that impose duties on American exports.
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This announcement comes at a time when the American economy has already shown signs of trouble, and the economists in Wall Street appear to be alerting to stagnation.
“Certainly things will get worse,” the analyst warns
He now sees a 40 % chance for the United States that will fall into the recession this year – that is, three times his appreciation from January.
“The economic data last week was worrying last week,” Zandy said in the X Publishing, pointing to a consumer confidence, and weakness of retail, and constantly high enlargement.
I raise the possibility that the recession will start this time this year to 40 %, an increase of 15 % at the beginning of the year. Last week’s economic data was worrying, including the segment of consumer confidence, evil consumer spending, and constantly high inflation. Intensification …
Markzandi March 30, 2025
Zandy’s main anxiety is an escalating trade war. Last week, the White House announced a new round of sharp definitions on imported vehicles, rapid revenge on the main commercial partners.
Zandy said: “With the announcement of last week about significant tariff increases in vehicle imports and next mutual definitions, things will surely get worse,” Zandy said.
Before that, President Donald Trump has already imposed a series of aggressive commercial policies, including customs tariffs on goods from China, Canada and Mexico.
Related: Jimmy Damon sends Curt 6 response to the tariff war
Federal spending discounts under the DOGE growth law in deficit deficit also adds to pressure. Discounts in spending are designed to reduce the long -term deficit, but they already cause the end of the contract and the demobilization of workers.
Zandy warned: “As long as the definitions and cutting operations continue in Duj, the possibility of recession.”
Where is the economy heading?
However, there are reasons for hope. Zandy indicated that the demobilization of workers is still low, and the growth of jobs and income is still positive.
All eyes are now heading to the Jobs report on Friday. Zandy predicts the support of non -agricultural salaries that are likely to rise by about 150,000 last month. “Anything south of 100,000 will be worrying, and anything north of 200,000 will be welcome,” he said.
More economic analysis:
- The price of gold hit the stumbling block. Where do you go from here?
- 7 fast food from the notes of the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell
- Retail sales add new complications to the expectations of reducing federal reserves
However, Zandy also warned that the full effects of the trade war and Doge are unlikely to appear in the data so far. “It is too early to expect a lot of repercussions from the trade war and Dogs in job data.”
The year until now, the S& P 500 indicators and the NASDAQ vehicle indicators have wiped 4.85 % and 10.34 %, respectively.
Related: The Veteran Fund Director reveals the prediction of the S&P 500
